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<DIV dir=ltr><FONT face="garamond, times new roman, serif"><SPAN
style="COLOR: rgb(0,0,0)" class=gmail_default>"</SPAN>С точки зрения способности
обрабатывать информацию биосфера значительно превосходит человеческую
цивилизацию. Каждый квадратный микрон поверхности Земли покрыт несколькими
живыми клетками, каждая из которых обладает способностью обрабатывать
информацию, сравнимой с возможностями современного ПК. <B>Разница составляет
примерно десять квинтиллионов, или десять в 19-й степени. </B><BR>Эти
информационные потоки необходимы для поддержания сильно неравновесной среды, в
которой может процветать жизнь. Они отражают как сложность этой задачи, так и
лежащие в ее основе механизмы, с помощью которых жизнь поддерживает среду,
пригодную для ее дальнейшего существования. Количественная пропасть между этими
потоками и возможностями человеческой цивилизации по обработке информации
является рациональным аргументом, который мы приводим здесь: мы никогда не
сможем адекватно моделировать жизнь.<BR>Более того, мы никогда не сможем
поддерживать п<SPAN style="COLOR: rgb(0,0,0); FONT-SIZE: small"
class=gmail_default>ригодный для нас</SPAN> климат технологи<SPAN
style="COLOR: rgb(0,0,0); FONT-SIZE: small" class=gmail_default>ями</SPAN>. Как
только природные экосистемы будут разрушены настолько, что их способность к
самовосстановлению превысит порог, нашему существованию в том виде, в каком мы
его сейчас осознаем, придет конец.<BR></FONT>
<DIV><FONT face="garamond, times new roman, serif">Основной вывод из этого
вывода заключается в том, что всякий раз, когда мы разрушаем естественную
экосистему, окружающая среда и климат неизбежно дестабилизируются. Это
возвращает нас к вопросу о том, может ли уничтожение естественных лесов по<SPAN
style="COLOR: rgb(0,0,0)" class=gmail_default>мочь</SPAN> климат<SPAN
style="COLOR: rgb(0,0,0)" class=gmail_default>у</SPAN>. Ответ отрицательный.
Всякий раз, когда мы разрушаем функциональную часть жизни, Земля как живая
планета становится более хрупкой<SPAN style="COLOR: rgb(0,0,0)"
class=gmail_default>"</SPAN>.</FONT></DIV><FONT
face="garamond, times new roman, serif"></FONT></DIV>
<DIV dir=ltr><FONT face="garamond, times new roman, serif">]
<DIV><BR></DIV></FONT>
<DIV><FONT face="garamond, times new roman, serif">Best regards,</FONT></DIV>
<DIV>
<DIV dir=ltr class=gmail_signature data-smartmail="gmail_signature">
<DIV dir=ltr>
<DIV><FONT face="garamond, times new roman, serif">Bulat K.
YESSEKIN</FONT></DIV></DIV></DIV></DIV><BR><BR>
<DIV class=gmail_quote>
<DIV dir=ltr class=gmail_attr> </DIV>
<DIV dir=ltr class=gmail_attr>От: <B dir=auto class=gmail_sendername>Anastassia
Makarieva</B> <SPAN dir=auto><<A href="mailto:bioticregulation@substack.com"
target=_blank>bioticregulation@substack.com</A>></SPAN><BR>Date: чт, 15 янв.
2026 г. в 10:56<BR>Subject: On Nature's Complexity and Human Morality<BR>To:
<<A href="mailto:bulat.yessekin@gmail.com"
target=_blank>bulat.yessekin@gmail.com</A>><BR></DIV><BR><BR>
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<DIV
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 1px; DISPLAY: none; MAX-WIDTH: 0px; COLOR: #333333; MAX-HEIGHT: 0px; FONT-SIZE: 1px; OVERFLOW: hidden; opacity: 0">Rationalizing
the limits of rational knowledge: stocks and flows of information in the
biosphere and human civilization</DIV>
<DIV
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 1px; DISPLAY: none; MAX-WIDTH: 0px; COLOR: #333333; MAX-HEIGHT: 0px; FONT-SIZE: 1px; OVERFLOW: hidden; opacity: 0">͏
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<H1
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href="https://substack.com/app-link/post?publication_id=3234926&post_id=184513385&utm_source=post-email-title&utm_campaign=email-post-title&isFreemail=true&r=4bkunu&token=eyJ1c2VyX2lkIjoyNjEzMTMzMzgsInBvc3RfaWQiOjE4NDUxMzM4NSwiaWF0IjoxNzY4NDU2NTcxLCJleHAiOjE3NzEwNDg1NzEsImlzcyI6InB1Yi0zMjM0OTI2Iiwic3ViIjoicG9zdC1yZWFjdGlvbiJ9.1AwP5m3bcdyKul9YNaW1yUMtx-42k2V-53iXHRD0NI8"
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<H3
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dir=auto>Rationalizing the limits of rational knowledge: stocks and flows
of information in the biosphere and human civilization</H3>
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href="https://substack.com/@anastassiamakarieva"
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<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px">One
of the greatest challenges in running this Substack, something I know I am
not alone in, is the decision to maintain a certain regularity, which in
my case means committing to at least three posts per month. This
inevitably requires diverting attention from doing science itself, which
typically demands intense and sustained concentration over months on a
single problem.</P>
<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px"><SPAN>This
month I hope to publish two additional posts, </SPAN><I>Science Insider
#2: Making Our Path through Rain and Hurricane Wind</I><SPAN>, following
</SPAN><A style="COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); TEXT-DECORATION: underline"
href="https://substack.com/redirect/8c05f1df-d871-478c-a7aa-85246de3f94f?j=eyJ1IjoiNGJrdW51In0.KOZfO-6JEyvRhEuUjLb8gW_imryoGpxZHT_51sl73y8"
rel="" target=_blank>Part #1</A><SPAN>, and </SPAN><I>China at an
Ecohydrological Crossroads</I><SPAN>, but I still need more time to
complete them in parallel with my on-going work.</SPAN></P>
<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px"><SPAN>In
the meantime, I would like to address several questions I have recently
received from readers, which are easier for me to discuss at the moment
based on previous research. One major question came from </SPAN><A
style="COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); TEXT-DECORATION: underline"
href="https://substack.com/redirect/cadd3f11-3d13-4efa-a312-30ea570c27c7?j=eyJ1IjoiNGJrdW51In0.KOZfO-6JEyvRhEuUjLb8gW_imryoGpxZHT_51sl73y8"
rel="" target=_blank>Michael Pilarski</A><SPAN>, who asked what I think
about a proposal </SPAN><I>to massively cut down boreal forests and bury
the wood in the ocean in order to absorb CO₂ from the atmosphere and ease
global warming.</I></P>
<DIV style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; FONT-SIZE: 16px">
<DIV
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<DIV
style="TEXT-ALIGN: center; LINE-HEIGHT: 22px; MARGIN-TOP: 16px; FONT-FAMILY: system-ui,-apple-system,BlinkMacSystemFont,'Segoe UI',Roboto,Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif,'Apple Color Emoji','Segoe UI Emoji','Segoe UI Symbol'; MAX-WIDTH: 384px; MARGIN-LEFT: auto; FONT-SIZE: 18px; FONT-WEIGHT: 400; MARGIN-RIGHT: auto">
<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px">For
new readers: <I>Biotic Regulation and Biotic Pump</I> presents a
science-based, cross-disciplinary, quantitative framework for
understanding how natural ecosystems maintain Earth’s habitability. Rather
than focusing on water, forests, or winds in isolation, this publication
intentionally adopts a multi-focus approach, revealing how seemingly
diverse processes fit together once the complexity of life-environment
interactions is properly acknowledged.</P></DIV>
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href="https://substack.com/redirect/2/eyJlIjoiaHR0cHM6Ly9iaW90aWNyZWd1bGF0aW9uLnN1YnN0YWNrLmNvbS9zdWJzY3JpYmU_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.G8js7pQZkxPoArW2ZhmFEMTBa1fT6E5I242KoCC5k6k?&utm_medium=email&utm_source=subscribe-widget-preamble&utm_content=184513385"
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<H4
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 1.16em; MARGIN: 1em 0px 0.62em; FONT-FAMILY: 'SF Pro Display',-apple-system-headline,system-ui,-apple-system,BlinkMacSystemFont,'Segoe UI',Roboto,Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif,'Apple Color Emoji','Segoe UI Emoji','Segoe UI Symbol'; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 1.12em; FONT-WEIGHT: bold">The
danger of 100% rationality</H4>
<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px"><SPAN>Michael’s
question immediately made me recall an interview with Mattias Desmet,
author of </SPAN><I>The Psychology of Totalitarianism</I><SPAN>, in which
he described the processes by which a society can become monolithic with
respect to certain judgments, to the point that it begins to physically
eliminate those who disagree. This may seem far removed from the idea of
burying trees in the ocean, but the connection is deep, and I will try to
explain it.</SPAN></P>
<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px">There
are several ingredients in such a tragic scenario. First, there must be a
complex social context that is difficult to handle both intellectually and
emotionally. Something is clearly going wrong, yet it is unclear how or
why it is happening. At this point, relief is often felt when attention is
forcefully narrowed to a single aspect of reality, which is then
identified as the primary cause of all that is going wrong. Desmet
compares this to hypnosis, where attention is fixed on a small, bright,
swinging object, causing the surrounding complexity to disappear from
awareness.</P>
<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px">Once
this focusing is achieved, which requires a steady flow of organizing
information from elites to the public, an emotional relief follows from
the perceived simplification of reality. People then remain attached to
that simplification. Anyone who argues that reality is more complex
directly threatens this emotional comfort and is therefore perceived as a
threat. This down-top subscription to a shared, simplistic narrative
destroys horizontal connections between people, leading, for example, to
situations in which sons report their fathers to the authorities, fully
aware that this will lead to their execution and even participating in the
prosecution.</P>
<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px"><SPAN>Desmet
argues that, in order to avoid reaching the stage of physical elimination,
the five to ten percent of the population who cannot be hypnotized, for
whatever reason such people always exist, must continue to speak out.
Alongside emotional comfort, there is also intellectual comfort, which is
reduced in the hypnotized majority, as they must suppress their intellect
in order to follow the agenda uncritically. This suppression is not
equally easy for all. By continuously rippling the surface of the
propaganda space with contrasting, fact-based narratives, dissenters can,
at personal risk, maintain a fragile equilibrium that prevents hypnosis
from settling completely. Since a hypnotized society is destined to fail,
as it cannot properly handle complex reality, a point I first learnt from
</SPAN><A style="COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); TEXT-DECORATION: underline"
href="https://substack.com/redirect/7701181d-d158-4485-9235-796d475f330a?j=eyJ1IjoiNGJrdW51In0.KOZfO-6JEyvRhEuUjLb8gW_imryoGpxZHT_51sl73y8"
rel="" target=_blank>Chuck Pezeshki</A><SPAN>, the goal of the dissenters
is to outlast the propaganda.</SPAN></P>
<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px"><SPAN>The
key point, however, is what Desmet sees as lying at the core of these
processes. Why would elites choose to hypnotize the population by
simplifying its thinking? Because, Desmet argues, we as a global society
have come to believe that </SPAN><I>everything can be rationally
understood</I><SPAN>. On the basis of such rational arguments, which must
be inherently simplistic in order to be formalized in mathematical models,
a widespread belief has emerged that society itself
</SPAN><I>can</I><SPAN> be programmed to act successfully toward goals set
by elites. Yet, Desmet emphasizes, or at least this is how I understand
him, because life is far more complex than our rational models of it, such
simplified social programs will </SPAN><I>inevitably fail</I><SPAN>,
leading to collapse in the longer, or more often not so long, term. He
further argues that only a limited part of reality can be rationally
understood, while the rest must be engaged with through what he calls
</SPAN><I>emphatic resonance</I><SPAN>.</SPAN></P>
<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px"><SPAN>As
a scientist, I am strongly inclined toward the rational approach, and I
find the notion of </SPAN><I>emphatic resonance</I><SPAN> unsatisfactorily
vague, although I do not mean to suggest that I have not experienced it.
What I mean is that the claim that </SPAN><I>rational models of society,
when used to code or hypnotize the population, will always fail</I><SPAN>
is a very strong one. It is akin to saying that all designs of a perpetuum
mobile, no matter how sophisticated, can be shown to be wrong. If this
claim is true, then </SPAN><I>there must be rational arguments</I><SPAN>
supporting Desmet’s position that our ability to rationally understand
life is objectively limited, in much the same way that the law of energy
conservation provides a rational argument against the possibility of
perpetual motion machines.</SPAN></P>
<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px">This
post is therefore largely devoted to exploring such arguments. None of
them is carved in stone.</P>
<H4
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 1.16em; MARGIN: 1em 0px 0.62em; FONT-FAMILY: 'SF Pro Display',-apple-system-headline,system-ui,-apple-system,BlinkMacSystemFont,'Segoe UI',Roboto,Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif,'Apple Color Emoji','Segoe UI Emoji','Segoe UI Symbol'; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 1.12em; FONT-WEIGHT: bold">Information
stocks and flows in the biosphere and civilization</H4>
<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px">Can
we demonstrate that life lies beyond our rational comprehension? To
address this question, let us compare key informational characteristics of
the living world and human civilization: the stocks of information, the
rate of information change through evolution and technological progress,
and the instantaneous flow of processed information.</P>
<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px"><SPAN>As
far as information stocks are concerned, a plausible argument can be made
that the stocks of information in the biosphere and in human civilization
are of the same order of magnitude. The detailed reasoning behind this
comparison can be found in our </SPAN><A
style="COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); TEXT-DECORATION: underline"
href="https://substack.com/redirect/7687d254-9a4f-4533-8812-1d5cf1726b48?j=eyJ1IjoiNGJrdW51In0.KOZfO-6JEyvRhEuUjLb8gW_imryoGpxZHT_51sl73y8"
rel="" target=_blank>2000 book</A><SPAN>, Chapter 7, </SPAN><I>Energy and
Information</I><SPAN>. Briefly, the central issue in such a comparison is
how one defines a single bit of information.</SPAN></P>
<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px">If
one bit is defined as a single nucleotide base pair in a DNA molecule,
then by combining characteristic genome sizes of biological species, the
fraction of non-overlapping genetic information, and the total number of
species, one arrives at an estimate of approximately ten thousand trillion
bits of information stored in the biosphere.</P>
<DIV style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 32px auto; FONT-SIZE: 16px">
<TABLE border=0 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%">
<TBODY>
<TR>
<TD style="TEXT-ALIGN: center"></TD>
<TD style="TEXT-ALIGN: center" width=1456 align=left><A
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href="https://substack.com/redirect/5ded27fb-c66e-47a0-81da-2068f57767ef?j=eyJ1IjoiNGJrdW51In0.KOZfO-6JEyvRhEuUjLb8gW_imryoGpxZHT_51sl73y8"
rel="" target=_blank><IMG
style="BORDER-BOTTOM: medium none; BORDER-LEFT: medium none; MARGIN: 0px auto; WIDTH: auto !important; DISPLAY: block; MAX-WIDTH: 100% !important; HEIGHT: auto; VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle; BORDER-TOP: medium none; BORDER-RIGHT: medium none"
alt=""
src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!rfdi!,w_1100,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc40b06fc-6fa8-49e8-9d1a-06de538ff172_1551x501.png"
width=550 height=177></A></TD>
<TD style="TEXT-ALIGN: center"></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></DIV>
<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px">To
estimate the stock of information in human civilization, we need to
consider how rapidly a human brain accumulates new information, the degree
of non-overlapping information among human brains, and the total number of
humans. This leads to approximately the same estimate, about ten thousand
trillion bits. Notably, this calculation assumes that functional
information exists only in human brains. Once some knowledge is lost from
all brains, it no longer counts. For example, humanity has apparently lost
the information necessary to send successful human missions to the Moon.
Other technologies are likely similarly fragile.</P>
<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px">The
above exercise is mainly illustrative. Its purpose is to show that our
civilization has plausibly accumulated an enormous amount of information.
What this information is actually about is a separate question.</P>
<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px">As
for the rates of change, human civilization clearly outpaces biological
evolution. I am not of the opinion that there exists a strict proof that
biological evolution has increased the total amount of information in the
biosphere. After all, change is not synonymous with progress. Different
configurations of the biosphere can be equally efficient responses to
different external conditions. Thus, while life continuously modifies the
mechanisms by which it perpetuates itself, its overall complexity does not
necessarily increase; rather, it remains precisely adequate for the task
of perpetuation.</P>
<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px"><SPAN>Nevertheless,
the rate of biological evolution can be estimated using known species
lifetimes, which we have </SPAN><A
style="COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); TEXT-DECORATION: underline"
href="https://substack.com/redirect/fab41b53-e95c-4588-893c-76e84d0df81e?j=eyJ1IjoiNGJrdW51In0.KOZfO-6JEyvRhEuUjLb8gW_imryoGpxZHT_51sl73y8"
rel="" target=_blank>studied</A><SPAN>, and the genetic distances between
ancestral and descendant species. This rate turns out to be on the order
of one bit per second, which is roughly ten million times slower than the
rate of technological progress.</SPAN></P>
<DIV style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 32px auto; FONT-SIZE: 16px">
<TABLE border=0 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%">
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<TD style="TEXT-ALIGN: center" width=1456 align=left><A
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href="https://substack.com/redirect/e1010807-f476-443e-a778-a6abaf66837a?j=eyJ1IjoiNGJrdW51In0.KOZfO-6JEyvRhEuUjLb8gW_imryoGpxZHT_51sl73y8"
rel="" target=_blank><IMG
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alt=""
src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BmrE!,w_1100,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fadc6d81f-6ddf-4df9-ac6d-32c474286faa_1551x561.png"
width=550 height=199></A></TD>
<TD style="TEXT-ALIGN: center"></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></DIV>
<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px"><B>This
gives modern humans an unprecedented ability to destroy the
biosphere.</B></P>
<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px">But
now we come to the parameter that matters most: the amount of information
that both human civilization and the biosphere can process per unit time.
Life is a process, a flow. Each moment brings new problems that must be
handled promptly to keep everything functioning. Once these efforts stop,
collapse follows.</P>
<DIV style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 32px auto; FONT-SIZE: 16px">
<TABLE border=0 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%">
<TBODY>
<TR>
<TD style="TEXT-ALIGN: center"></TD>
<TD style="TEXT-ALIGN: center" width=850 align=left><A
style="BORDER-BOTTOM: medium none; BORDER-LEFT: medium none; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; MARGIN: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 0px; WIDTH: auto; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; DISPLAY: block; HEIGHT: auto; BORDER-TOP: medium none; BORDER-RIGHT: medium none; TEXT-DECORATION: none; PADDING-TOP: 0px"
href="https://substack.com/redirect/15ae970b-a985-47a1-8dc9-1ea867071247?j=eyJ1IjoiNGJrdW51In0.KOZfO-6JEyvRhEuUjLb8gW_imryoGpxZHT_51sl73y8"
rel="" target=_blank><IMG
style="BORDER-BOTTOM: medium none; BORDER-LEFT: medium none; MARGIN: 0px auto; WIDTH: auto !important; DISPLAY: block; MAX-WIDTH: 100% !important; HEIGHT: auto; VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle; BORDER-TOP: medium none; BORDER-RIGHT: medium none"
alt=""
src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fBPd!,w_1100,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1f72ebbf-2e12-4838-9741-8a7dc1175b8d_850x638.png"
width=550 height=412></A></TD>
<TD style="TEXT-ALIGN: center"></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></DIV>
<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px">It
turns out that, in terms of information-processing capacity, the biosphere
is overwhelmingly superior to human civilization. Each square micron of
Earth’s surface is covered by several living cells, each of which has an
information-processing capacity comparable to that of a modern PC. The
difference amounts to roughly ten quintillion, or ten to the 19th power.
Allowing for uncertainties of a few orders of magnitude does not alter any
of the implications.</P>
<DIV style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 32px auto; FONT-SIZE: 16px">
<TABLE border=0 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%">
<TBODY>
<TR>
<TD style="TEXT-ALIGN: center"></TD>
<TD style="TEXT-ALIGN: center" width=1456 align=left><A
style="BORDER-BOTTOM: medium none; BORDER-LEFT: medium none; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; MARGIN: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 0px; WIDTH: auto; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; DISPLAY: block; HEIGHT: auto; BORDER-TOP: medium none; BORDER-RIGHT: medium none; TEXT-DECORATION: none; PADDING-TOP: 0px"
href="https://substack.com/redirect/1eb22400-1784-456d-8435-d71bd654389f?j=eyJ1IjoiNGJrdW51In0.KOZfO-6JEyvRhEuUjLb8gW_imryoGpxZHT_51sl73y8"
rel="" target=_blank><IMG
style="BORDER-BOTTOM: medium none; BORDER-LEFT: medium none; MARGIN: 0px auto; WIDTH: auto !important; DISPLAY: block; MAX-WIDTH: 100% !important; HEIGHT: auto; VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle; BORDER-TOP: medium none; BORDER-RIGHT: medium none"
alt=""
src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!yZoY!,w_1100,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F15367b26-4e3d-43ec-ad1a-6cc91499757d_1551x741.png"
width=550 height=262></A></TD>
<TD style="TEXT-ALIGN: center"></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></DIV>
<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px"><SPAN>Life
is also superior to human civilization in terms of energy cost per
operation, as discussed in “</SPAN><A
style="COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); TEXT-DECORATION: underline"
href="https://substack.com/redirect/25726c95-23c1-4ff4-bdef-e784bf6b31af?j=eyJ1IjoiNGJrdW51In0.KOZfO-6JEyvRhEuUjLb8gW_imryoGpxZHT_51sl73y8"
rel="" target=_blank>Information Processing by Natural
Ecosystems</A><SPAN>”, although here the difference is comparatively
modest, amounting to a factor of about one thousand.</SPAN></P>
<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px">The
question, then, is what life uses these enormous information fluxes for.
Why are they needed?</P>
<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px">These
information fluxes are required to maintain the strongly non-equilibrium
environment in which life can thrive. They reflect both the complexity of
this task and the underlying mechanisms through which life perpetuates an
environment suitable for its continued existence. The quantitative abyss
between these fluxes and the information-processing capacity of human
civilization constitutes the rational argument sought here: we will never
be able to adequately model life.</P>
<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px">Furthermore,
we will never be able to maintain a suitable climate by technological
means. Once natural ecosystems are destroyed beyond their threshold of
self-recovery, our existence as we presently recognize it will come to an
end.</P>
<H4
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 1.16em; MARGIN: 1em 0px 0.62em; FONT-FAMILY: 'SF Pro Display',-apple-system-headline,system-ui,-apple-system,BlinkMacSystemFont,'Segoe UI',Roboto,Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif,'Apple Color Emoji','Segoe UI Emoji','Segoe UI Symbol'; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 1.12em; FONT-WEIGHT: bold">Implications</H4>
<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px">The
primary implication of this conclusion is that whenever we destroy a
natural ecosystem, the environment and climate inevitably destabilize.
This brings us back to the question of whether destroying natural forests
could possibly help the climate. The answer is no. Whenever we destroy a
functional part of life, Earth as a living planet becomes more
fragile.</P>
<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px"><SPAN>One
can, of course, examine in detail the flaws in the rational arguments
intended to persuade us that burying logs in the ocean is a good idea. One
can point to disappearing cloud cover, the loss of soil moisture, summer
heatwaves and winter coldwaves, drying rivers, floods and droughts, and
the growing frequency of </SPAN><A
style="COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); TEXT-DECORATION: underline"
href="https://substack.com/redirect/b4cfb799-c1fe-4bfa-8b44-bd70db3d93be?j=eyJ1IjoiNGJrdW51In0.KOZfO-6JEyvRhEuUjLb8gW_imryoGpxZHT_51sl73y8"
rel="" target=_blank>extreme events</A><SPAN>. But such an exercise would,
in essence, amount to yet another examination of a perpetuum mobile
design. Any project that destroys a natural ecosystem or interferes with
its functioning will inevitably lead to destabilization.</SPAN></P>
<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px">Another
implication is that we will never be able to build a closed system with a
stable environment. A Biosphere 2.0 is therefore not possible in
principle. Any attempt to construct such a system will similarly result in
wasted resources.</P>
<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px"><SPAN>The
more subtle implications concern how we interpret what we observe in the
biosphere. A conspicuous example is the misinterpretation of biotic
responses to the anthropogenic disturbance of the carbon cycle. This has
been discussed on this blog </SPAN><A
style="COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); TEXT-DECORATION: underline"
href="https://substack.com/redirect/f8d6af15-d3bb-4b1f-9884-2a11f7ab527f?j=eyJ1IjoiNGJrdW51In0.KOZfO-6JEyvRhEuUjLb8gW_imryoGpxZHT_51sl73y8"
rel="" target=_blank>here</A><SPAN> and </SPAN><A
style="COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); TEXT-DECORATION: underline"
href="https://substack.com/redirect/274e88ae-9b9f-4cda-8a66-b705782d1ea8?j=eyJ1IjoiNGJrdW51In0.KOZfO-6JEyvRhEuUjLb8gW_imryoGpxZHT_51sl73y8"
rel="" target=_blank>here</A><SPAN>, but I would like to once again
emphasize the internal incoherence of the CO₂ fertilization
hypothesis.</SPAN></P>
<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px"><SPAN>In
an </SPAN><A style="COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); TEXT-DECORATION: underline"
href="https://substack.com/redirect/b4cc9a1e-99c7-44dd-bd3d-f8e6df31f06d?j=eyJ1IjoiNGJrdW51In0.KOZfO-6JEyvRhEuUjLb8gW_imryoGpxZHT_51sl73y8"
rel="" target=_blank>important, empirically based study</A><SPAN>
reporting increasing tree diameters in the Amazon rainforest, discussed on
</SPAN><A style="COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); TEXT-DECORATION: underline"
href="https://substack.com/redirect/0fb71d11-0213-40e7-b39f-66bf77d283ba?j=eyJ1IjoiNGJrdW51In0.KOZfO-6JEyvRhEuUjLb8gW_imryoGpxZHT_51sl73y8"
rel="" target=_blank>Melanie Lenart’s Substack</A><SPAN>, the researchers
wrote (my emphasis):</SPAN></P>
<BLOCKQUOTE
style="BORDER-LEFT: #ff6719 4px solid; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; MARGIN: 20px 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 0px; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-TOP: 0px">
<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px"><I><SPAN>The
observed patterns match the expectations from increase in resources
either by CO</SPAN><SUB
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 0; FONT-SIZE: 0.75em">2</SUB><SPAN> fertilization or
by nitrogen deposition. Although atmospheric nitrogen deposition is a
major driver of change in forests of temperate regions</SPAN><A
style="COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); TEXT-DECORATION: underline"
href="https://substack.com/redirect/ceaea647-2bd9-49cf-b85a-cceddb2fcd09?j=eyJ1IjoiNGJrdW51In0.KOZfO-6JEyvRhEuUjLb8gW_imryoGpxZHT_51sl73y8"
rel="" target=_blank><SUP
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 0; FONT-SIZE: 0.75em">38</SUP></A><SPAN>, there is
weaker evidence of its impact on tropical mature forests, particularly
in remote regions</SPAN><A
style="COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); TEXT-DECORATION: underline"
href="https://substack.com/redirect/abd25d6c-cc39-4846-8138-33b489a7fa96?j=eyJ1IjoiNGJrdW51In0.KOZfO-6JEyvRhEuUjLb8gW_imryoGpxZHT_51sl73y8"
rel="" target=_blank><SUP
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 0; FONT-SIZE: 0.75em">39</SUP></A><SPAN>.
</SPAN><B><SPAN>First, mature Amazonian forests tend to be phosphorus
and not nitrogen limited</SPAN><A
style="COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); TEXT-DECORATION: underline"
href="https://substack.com/redirect/39b66f1f-7255-475e-a855-51d40a22fb02?j=eyJ1IjoiNGJrdW51In0.KOZfO-6JEyvRhEuUjLb8gW_imryoGpxZHT_51sl73y8"
rel="" target=_blank><SUP
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 0; FONT-SIZE: 0.75em">40</SUP></A><SPAN>, meaning
that increases in nitrogen would not necessarily translate into greater
productivity</SPAN><A
style="COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); TEXT-DECORATION: underline"
href="https://substack.com/redirect/abd25d6c-cc39-4846-8138-33b489a7fa96?j=eyJ1IjoiNGJrdW51In0.KOZfO-6JEyvRhEuUjLb8gW_imryoGpxZHT_51sl73y8"
rel="" target=_blank><SUP
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 0; FONT-SIZE: 0.75em">39</SUP></A><SUP
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 0; FONT-SIZE: 0.75em">,</SUP><A
style="COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); TEXT-DECORATION: underline"
href="https://substack.com/redirect/fa9f5655-8c66-463b-90b1-6b52db4fba6e?j=eyJ1IjoiNGJrdW51In0.KOZfO-6JEyvRhEuUjLb8gW_imryoGpxZHT_51sl73y8"
rel="" target=_blank><SUP
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 0; FONT-SIZE: 0.75em">41</SUP></A><SPAN>.</SPAN></B><SPAN>
Second, although nitrogen deposition rates are expected to increase,
they remain quite low</SPAN><A
style="COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); TEXT-DECORATION: underline"
href="https://substack.com/redirect/2e4e1787-ab53-4181-89c3-8d55c54b5546?j=eyJ1IjoiNGJrdW51In0.KOZfO-6JEyvRhEuUjLb8gW_imryoGpxZHT_51sl73y8"
rel="" target=_blank><SUP
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 0; FONT-SIZE: 0.75em">7</SUP></A><SUP
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 0; FONT-SIZE: 0.75em">,</SUP><A
style="COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); TEXT-DECORATION: underline"
href="https://substack.com/redirect/dc2dc172-39f6-46d0-b988-74ea4ae23af1?j=eyJ1IjoiNGJrdW51In0.KOZfO-6JEyvRhEuUjLb8gW_imryoGpxZHT_51sl73y8"
rel="" target=_blank><SUP
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 0; FONT-SIZE: 0.75em">42</SUP></A><SPAN> and
concentrated across the fragmented southern border of Amazonia</SPAN><A
style="COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); TEXT-DECORATION: underline"
href="https://substack.com/redirect/087e0bd1-7180-49dd-8626-5df4c990d29a?j=eyJ1IjoiNGJrdW51In0.KOZfO-6JEyvRhEuUjLb8gW_imryoGpxZHT_51sl73y8"
rel="" target=_blank><SUP
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 0; FONT-SIZE: 0.75em">43</SUP></A><SPAN>. On the
contrary, atmospheric CO</SPAN><SUB
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 0; FONT-SIZE: 0.75em">2</SUB><SPAN> has
progressively increased year after year globally and across all tropical
forests, consistent with the Amazonian-wide tree size increase</SPAN><A
style="COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); TEXT-DECORATION: underline"
href="https://substack.com/redirect/4281af6b-4169-4e1b-8b19-ede8b17781a6?j=eyJ1IjoiNGJrdW51In0.KOZfO-6JEyvRhEuUjLb8gW_imryoGpxZHT_51sl73y8"
rel="" target=_blank><SUP
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 0; FONT-SIZE: 0.75em">9</SUP></A><SPAN> (Fig.
</SPAN><A style="COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); TEXT-DECORATION: underline"
href="https://substack.com/redirect/fed605a3-78ac-467d-8d89-dd5167d4362b?j=eyJ1IjoiNGJrdW51In0.KOZfO-6JEyvRhEuUjLb8gW_imryoGpxZHT_51sl73y8"
rel="" target=_blank>2</A><SPAN>). Thus, we conclude that the increase
in atmospheric CO</SPAN><SUB
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 0; FONT-SIZE: 0.75em">2</SUB><SPAN> is the most
likely, although potentially not only, driver of the observed increase
in tree size.</SPAN></I></P></BLOCKQUOTE>
<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px">Consider
the logic of this argument. It is stated that Amazonian forests are
phosphorus-limited and therefore cannot respond to increased nitrogen
availability. In other words, they can be fertilized by phosphorus but not
by nitrogen. How, then, can forests that are limited by phosphorus be
fertilized by atmospheric carbon?</P>
<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px"><SPAN>As
we have discussed elsewhere (see </SPAN><A
style="COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); TEXT-DECORATION: underline"
href="https://substack.com/redirect/6cbd83bd-96eb-4423-a491-be9836308618?j=eyJ1IjoiNGJrdW51In0.KOZfO-6JEyvRhEuUjLb8gW_imryoGpxZHT_51sl73y8"
rel="" target=_blank><SPAN>“Is Extra CO</SPAN><SUB
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 0; FONT-SIZE: 0.75em">2</SUB><SPAN> good/food for
plants?”</SPAN></A><SPAN>), the removal of excess carbon from the
atmosphere is not a simple biochemical process that shifts in one
direction or another depending on external conditions. It is a complex,
coordinated response of the entire ecological community, in which primary
producers increase the synthesis of carbon-rich compounds while
decomposers refrain from consuming the additional biomass produced. This
response is a manifestation of biotic regulation of the
environment.</SPAN></P>
<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px"><SPAN>Having
become accustomed to the concept of fertilization in the disturbed
environments of gardens and agricultural fields, we may overlook that
under natural conditions there is typically enough of everything for
everybody, with neither persistent shortage nor surplus. In doing so, we
tend to project anthropocentric assumptions onto natural ecosystems whose
functioning largely </SPAN><A
style="COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); TEXT-DECORATION: underline"
href="https://substack.com/redirect/92df0afb-3913-41f8-8b47-553f39e52290?j=eyJ1IjoiNGJrdW51In0.KOZfO-6JEyvRhEuUjLb8gW_imryoGpxZHT_51sl73y8"
rel="" target=_blank>remains a mystery</A><SPAN>.</SPAN></P>
<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px"><SPAN>Another
example of an antropocentric perspective is, in my view, the relatively
common narrative about </SPAN><A
style="COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); TEXT-DECORATION: underline"
href="https://substack.com/redirect/584bf2e6-cbc4-4785-903f-8fff999da2a0?j=eyJ1IjoiNGJrdW51In0.KOZfO-6JEyvRhEuUjLb8gW_imryoGpxZHT_51sl73y8"
rel="" target=_blank>the Amazon rainforest depending on Saharan
dust</A><SPAN>. In 1992, </SPAN><A
style="COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); TEXT-DECORATION: underline"
href="https://substack.com/redirect/54c63939-4f5b-4589-bae5-6301b9a146f5?j=eyJ1IjoiNGJrdW51In0.KOZfO-6JEyvRhEuUjLb8gW_imryoGpxZHT_51sl73y8"
rel="" target=_blank>Swap et al.</A><SPAN> proposed that the atmospheric
transport of dust from the Sahara provides an essential supply of minerals
to the forest and that, by inference, periods of Saharan greening should
be synchronized with periods of decline in the Amazon rainforest. No such
correlation has ever been observed.</SPAN></P>
<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px">Yet
this idea has been widely discussed, and one reason, I suspect, is that it
resonates with an anthropocentric analogy to international trade. Just as
some people enjoy pineapples in January that are transported from distant
parts of the world, it can feel intuitive to imagine that the Amazon
rainforest similarly depends on an intermittent supply of mineral dust
from Africa.</P>
<DIV style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 32px auto; FONT-SIZE: 16px">
<TABLE border=0 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%">
<TBODY>
<TR>
<TD style="TEXT-ALIGN: center"></TD>
<TD style="TEXT-ALIGN: center" width=1456 align=left><A
style="BORDER-BOTTOM: medium none; BORDER-LEFT: medium none; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; MARGIN: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 0px; WIDTH: auto; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; DISPLAY: block; HEIGHT: auto; BORDER-TOP: medium none; BORDER-RIGHT: medium none; TEXT-DECORATION: none; PADDING-TOP: 0px"
href="https://substack.com/redirect/5e666449-d295-44ca-be35-97b985434203?j=eyJ1IjoiNGJrdW51In0.KOZfO-6JEyvRhEuUjLb8gW_imryoGpxZHT_51sl73y8"
rel="" target=_blank><IMG
style="BORDER-BOTTOM: medium none; BORDER-LEFT: medium none; MARGIN: 0px auto; WIDTH: auto !important; DISPLAY: block; MAX-WIDTH: 100% !important; HEIGHT: auto; VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle; BORDER-TOP: medium none; BORDER-RIGHT: medium none"
alt=""
src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sMpD!,w_1100,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F35951854-1eff-4246-8dd8-a14d23257a1b_3590x2541.jpeg"
width=550 height=389></A></TD>
<TD style="TEXT-ALIGN: center"></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></DIV>
<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px"><SPAN>However,
basic calculations indicate that the entire phosphorus demand of the
forest can be met by mineral deposition originating from the ocean. We
</SPAN><A style="COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); TEXT-DECORATION: underline"
href="https://substack.com/redirect/e785947a-cba6-4148-b31c-7cfaede71870?j=eyJ1IjoiNGJrdW51In0.KOZfO-6JEyvRhEuUjLb8gW_imryoGpxZHT_51sl73y8"
rel="" target=_blank>discussed</A><SPAN> this possibility with colleagues
several years ago. According to the review of the global phosphorus cycle
by </SPAN><A style="COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); TEXT-DECORATION: underline"
href="https://substack.com/redirect/b5294a67-07b1-41a2-b9a1-d7100e488a2f?j=eyJ1IjoiNGJrdW51In0.KOZfO-6JEyvRhEuUjLb8gW_imryoGpxZHT_51sl73y8"
rel="" target=_blank>Ruttenberg (2003, Table 1)</A><SPAN>, oceanic inputs
of phosphorus to the atmosphere are approximately one order of magnitude
lower than the dust inputs estimated by Swap et al. (1992). At the same
time, phosphorus losses associated with Amazon runoff, according to Swap
et al. (1992, p. 146), “vary from </SPAN><B>an order of magnitude
less</B><SPAN> than our [dust] deposition values to the same order of
magnitude.” Since forest disturbance increases nutrient losses, the
available evidence appears fully consistent with the notion that all
phosphorus demands of the thriving Amazon forest, the mightiest ecosystem
on Earth, can be met by phosphorus supplied from the ocean.</SPAN></P>
<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px">Unlike
the distant and unpredictable Sahara, the ocean is always present. For an
ecosystem, organizing itself to rely primarily on oceanic inputs is
therefore a more prudent strategy, with greater potential for persistence,
especially given that without the biotically pumped import of atmospheric
moisture the forest would not thrive in any case. By the same logic,
moving toward local food supplies is the right choice for human
populations. This shift will occur regardless of our preferences, so it is
better to be prepared.</P>
<H4
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 1.16em; MARGIN: 1em 0px 0.62em; FONT-FAMILY: 'SF Pro Display',-apple-system-headline,system-ui,-apple-system,BlinkMacSystemFont,'Segoe UI',Roboto,Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif,'Apple Color Emoji','Segoe UI Emoji','Segoe UI Symbol'; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 1.12em; FONT-WEIGHT: bold">Human
morality</H4>
<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px">Returning
to the question of elites seeking to program the population to serve their
goals, one might ask, however cynical the question may be: we have managed
domesticated animals for thousands of years, so why could the majority of
humans not be managed in a similar way for profit? The crucial difference
is that domesticated animals do not participate in creating a favorable
environment. They are entirely nonviable if left without human control.
They cannot reproduce and leave a viable progeny. They are environmentally
dysfunctional.</P>
<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px">Maintaining
a thriving and developing civilization requires complex behaviors. Among
the most complex of these is the ability to raise the next generation in a
way that energizes it to carry complex and functional life forward. A
hypnotized population governed by simplistic propaganda may serve the
goals of elites for some time, but it will not produce a progeny capable
of continuing civilization. This is what we are now observing globally.
The human system thus begins to collapse toward more primitive modes of
existence.</P>
<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px">This
leads to another question. If humans have a tendency to rationalize
reality in ways that ultimately lead to destabilization, how can we
survive in the long run? And how can we continue to develop as a species,
including the development of our intellect?</P>
<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px">Desmet
suggests that we should embrace what he calls emphatic resonance with
reality and follow high moral principles, which he considers the most
important course of action for a human being. He makes a striking
observation: in many cases, people who do not conform to propaganda but
continue to speak out and act according to what they believe to be true
under pressure show a marked increase in inner strength, enabling them to
persist and sometimes even prevail.</P>
<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px">From
my own experience, since I began writing this Substack, which I try to do
carefully because I still want to pursue scientific work that I believe
truly matters and do not wish to be prematurely eliminated at any level, I
have nonetheless taken my small step toward speaking out. I do feel that
something changes inside me, strong enough to feel almost physiological.
At times, I sense a quiet rise of inner drive within me. However, whether
this elusive feeling corresponds to what Desmet describes, or reflects
some other process altogether, such as increased dopamine associated with
greater visibility, cannot be determined with certainty.</P>
<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px">Indeed,
the fact that something feels good or profound does not automatically mean
that the cause one is striving for is a good one. As a canonical example,
people who participated in the operation of concentration camps had
families and cared for their children. They, too, presumably experienced
positive feelings. Feeling inner strength or moral certainty is therefore
not, by itself, a reliable guide.</P>
<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px">Rational,
scientific arguments are valuable precisely because they can be
universally assessed at the intellectual level. Human existence has
remained possible because natural ecosystems possess enormous buffering
capacity and have long compensated for the disturbances caused by human
activity. Neglecting the reality of the permissible ecological corridor,
through a technocratic blindness that facilitates further degradation of
the climate-regulating functions of natural ecosystems, will not end well
for our species and, most likely, for other macroscopic life as well.</P>
<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px"><SPAN>I
would argue that the highest moral imperative of our species, consistent
with available rational knowledge, is therefore to withdraw from
destruction and return to this corridor, within which we can continue to
pursue scientific and technological progress, and experiment with our
social organization, while surrounding natural ecosystems stabilize the
environment and climate for us. Quantifying this safe ecological corridor
for our species and bringing its existence to light were among the central
achievements of </SPAN><A
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<P></P>-- <BR>Вы получили это сообщение, поскольку подписаны на
группу "seu-international".<BR></DIV>
<DIV class="gmail_quote gmail_quote_container"><FONT size=2
face=Arial></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV class="gmail_quote gmail_quote_container"><FONT size=2 face=Arial><FONT
size=3 face="Times New Roman">From: <B dir=auto class=gmail_sendername>Bulat
Yessekin</B> <SPAN dir=auto><<A
href="mailto:bulat.yessekin@gmail.com">bulat.yessekin@gmail.com</A>></SPAN><BR>Date:
чт, 15 янв. 2026 г. в 09:41<BR>Subject: Fwd: Анастасия о сложности природы и
человеческой морали</FONT><BR><BR><BR>PS. Справедливости ради стоит заметить,
что идеи о сложности биосферных связей и невозможности их воспроизвести
полностью, высказывал еще а прошлом веке учитель А.Макарьевой
В.Г.Горшков:</FONT></DIV>
<DIV class="gmail_quote gmail_quote_container"><FONT size=2 face=Arial><SPAN
style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ansi-language: RU; mso-fareast-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">
Горшков В.Г. Физические и биологические основы устойчивости жизни. М., ВИНИТИ,
1995</SPAN></FONT></DIV>
<DIV class="gmail_quote gmail_quote_container"><FONT size=2
face=Arial></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV class="gmail_quote gmail_quote_container"><FONT size=2
face=Arial>Вл</FONT></DIV>
<DIV class="gmail_quote gmail_quote_container"><FONT size=2
face=Arial></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV class="gmail_quote gmail_quote_container"><FONT size=2
face=Arial></FONT> </DIV></DIV></BODY></HTML>