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<DIV>Друзья, день добрый!</DIV>
<DIV>Очень советую ознакомиться с этой статьей Анастасии Макарьевой, посвященной
инициативам Администрации США доказать, что изменение климата всем на
пользу.</DIV>
<DIV>Предупреждаю - автопереводчик справляется с переводом в лучшем случае на 3
с минусом. <BR></DIV>
<DIV>Будьте внимательны, сверяйтесь с оригиналом. <BR></DIV>
<DIV>В качестве примера:</DIV>
<DIV>For example, the most severe U.S. temperature extremes are said to have
occurred during the Dust Bowl.</DIV>
<DIV><SPAN style="WHITE-SPACE: pre-wrap"></SPAN><SPAN
style="WHITE-SPACE: pre-wrap">Например</SPAN><SPAN
style="WHITE-SPACE: pre-wrap">,</SPAN><SPAN style="WHITE-SPACE: pre-wrap">
</SPAN><SPAN style="WHITE-SPACE: pre-wrap">самый</SPAN><SPAN
style="WHITE-SPACE: pre-wrap"> </SPAN><SPAN
style="WHITE-SPACE: pre-wrap">суровый</SPAN><SPAN style="WHITE-SPACE: pre-wrap">
в </SPAN><SPAN style="WHITE-SPACE: pre-wrap">США</SPAN><SPAN
style="WHITE-SPACE: pre-wrap"> </SPAN><SPAN
style="WHITE-SPACE: pre-wrap">говорят</SPAN><SPAN
style="WHITE-SPACE: pre-wrap">, что </SPAN><SPAN
style="WHITE-SPACE: pre-wrap">во</SPAN><SPAN style="WHITE-SPACE: pre-wrap">
время работы </SPAN><SPAN style="WHITE-SPACE: pre-wrap">пылесборника</SPAN><SPAN
style="WHITE-SPACE: pre-wrap"> </SPAN><SPAN
style="WHITE-SPACE: pre-wrap">имели</SPAN><SPAN style="WHITE-SPACE: pre-wrap">
</SPAN><SPAN style="WHITE-SPACE: pre-wrap">место</SPAN><SPAN
style="WHITE-SPACE: pre-wrap"> </SPAN><SPAN
style="WHITE-SPACE: pre-wrap">экстремальные</SPAN><SPAN
style="WHITE-SPACE: pre-wrap"> </SPAN><SPAN
style="WHITE-SPACE: pre-wrap">температуры</SPAN><SPAN
style="WHITE-SPACE: pre-wrap">.</SPAN> <BR></DIV>
<DIV>Успехов,</DIV>
<DIV>Свет <BR></DIV><FONT size=2 face=Arial></FONT></DIV>
<DIV dir=ltr> </DIV>
<DIV dir=ltr>
<DIV><BR></DIV>
<DIV>
<DIV class=gmail_quote>
<DIV dir=ltr class=gmail_attr>От: <B dir=auto class=gmail_sendername>Anastassia
Makarieva</B> <SPAN dir=auto><<A href="mailto:bioticregulation@substack.com"
target=_blank>bioticregulation@substack.com</A>></SPAN><BR>Date: пн, 11 авг.
2025 г. в 16:18<BR>Subject: Is Extra CO2 Good/Food for Plants?<BR></DIV>
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src="https://eotrx.substackcdn.com/open?token=eyJtIjoiPDIwMjUwODExMTMxODEwLjMuZDI4NTZmZDkyZDk1MTBkY0BtZy1kMC5zdWJzdGFjay5jb20-IiwidSI6MTU4MDA1ODc0LCJyIjoic3ZldGZyb2dAZ21haWwuY29tIiwiZCI6Im1nLWQwLnN1YnN0YWNrLmNvbSIsInAiOjE3MDE3MzE5NSwidCI6Im5ld3NsZXR0ZXIiLCJhIjoiZXZlcnlvbmUiLCJzIjozMjM0OTI2LCJjIjoicG9zdCIsImYiOnRydWUsInBvc2l0aW9uIjoidG9wIiwiaWF0IjoxNzU0OTE4MzAzLCJleHAiOjE3NTc1MTAzMDMsImlzcyI6InB1Yi0wIiwic3ViIjoiZW8ifQ.LXPkKFY9OQORAOQKWhFS9O1yse3xf4X19EQAKNrEM28"
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dir=ltr class=gmail_attr>Reflections on the latest DOE climate report: If we
shrugged off anthropocentrism, we would see that CO₂-enhanced growth is not
proof of a thriving biosphere, but a sign of its fever.</DIV>
<DIV
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 1px; DISPLAY: none; MAX-WIDTH: 0px; COLOR: #333333; MAX-HEIGHT: 0px; FONT-SIZE: 1px; OVERFLOW: hidden; opacity: 0"
dir=ltr class=gmail_attr>͏ ͏ ͏ ͏
͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏
͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏
͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏
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͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏
͏ </DIV>
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<H1
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 36px; MARGIN: 0px; FONT-FAMILY: 'SF Pro Display',-apple-system-headline,system-ui,-apple-system,BlinkMacSystemFont,'Segoe UI',Roboto,Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif,'Apple Color Emoji','Segoe UI Emoji','Segoe UI Symbol'; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 32px; FONT-WEIGHT: bold"><A
style="COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); TEXT-DECORATION: none"
href="https://substack.com/app-link/post?publication_id=3234926&post_id=170173195&utm_source=post-email-title&utm_campaign=email-post-title&isFreemail=true&r=2m2m42&token=eyJ1c2VyX2lkIjoxNTgwMDU4NzQsInBvc3RfaWQiOjE3MDE3MzE5NSwiaWF0IjoxNzU0OTE4MzAyLCJleHAiOjE3NTc1MTAzMDIsImlzcyI6InB1Yi0zMjM0OTI2Iiwic3ViIjoicG9zdC1yZWFjdGlvbiJ9.AGFSIsEflxaQ4zzNln1E0_1rJb_YzAvhTsaQjEjuFpw"
target=_blank>Is Extra CO2 Good/Food for Plants?</A></H1>
<H3
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 24px; MARGIN: 12px 0px 0px; FONT-FAMILY: 'SF Pro Display',-apple-system-headline,system-ui,-apple-system,BlinkMacSystemFont,'Segoe UI',Roboto,Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif,'Apple Color Emoji','Segoe UI Emoji','Segoe UI Symbol'; COLOR: #777777; FONT-SIZE: 18px; FONT-WEIGHT: normal">Reflections
on the latest DOE climate report: If we shrugged off anthropocentrism, we
would see that CO₂-enhanced growth is not proof of a thriving biosphere,
but a sign of its fever.</H3>
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href="https://substack.com/@anastassiamakarieva"
target=_blank>Anastassia
Makarieva</A></DIV></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR>
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11</DIV></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD>
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<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px"><B>Heated
Atmosphere</B></P>
<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px"><SPAN>Two
noteworthy documents are now stirring debate in the international climate
community: the latest DOE </SPAN><A
style="COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); TEXT-DECORATION: underline"
href="https://substack.com/redirect/f2d065e1-8eb8-492c-bd9f-188274dd6fc5?j=eyJ1IjoiMm0ybTQyIn0.YTQIGOi3aNYzFXNXjrWAb8aIFHsltcqoBPDDRfi_FMU"
rel="" target=_blank>climate report</A><SPAN> by Drs. J. Christy, J.
Curry, S. Koonin, R. McKitrick, and R. Spencer, and another, less
publicized but equally provocative and disruptive, </SPAN><A
style="COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); TEXT-DECORATION: underline"
href="https://substack.com/redirect/5c529182-4254-43f8-aaa7-68f13500a6cb?j=eyJ1IjoiMm0ybTQyIn0.YTQIGOi3aNYzFXNXjrWAb8aIFHsltcqoBPDDRfi_FMU"
rel="" target=_blank>paper</A><SPAN> by Drs. R. Lindzen and W.
Happer.</SPAN></P>
<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px"><SPAN>In
brief, both: (a) spotlight discrepancies between global climate models and
actual observations, especially in tropospheric temperature trends (see my
discussion of why this matters in my first ever </SPAN><A
style="COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); TEXT-DECORATION: underline"
href="https://substack.com/redirect/34d23791-4981-4001-b448-df30f06e54f4?j=eyJ1IjoiMm0ybTQyIn0.YTQIGOi3aNYzFXNXjrWAb8aIFHsltcqoBPDDRfi_FMU"
rel="" target=_blank>substack post</A><SPAN>); (b) challenge the methods
used to attribute extreme weather events to global climate change; and (c)
argue that when records are extended to the early 20th century, current
temperature extremes lose their exceptional status — implying that climate
change is not the primary driver of some recent extremes. For example, the
most severe U.S. temperature extremes are said to have occurred during the
Dust Bowl.</SPAN></P>
<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px">Above
all, however, both reports — though authored mainly by physicists (and one
economist) — devote substantial attention to a central claim: that
additional CO₂ benefits the biosphere, making plants grow faster, larger,
and more water-efficient, thereby increasing agricultural productivity.
That is the claim we will examine in depth today.</P>
<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px">First,
a disclaimer. These reports inevitably provoke strong reactions, and I
respect those feelings. From my own experience, despite, or thanks to,
modern advances in industrial agricultural output, many people today
consume nutrient-poor diets (a point also noted in the DOE report, which I
discuss further below) and may lack the nutrients needed for emotional
balance — all the more so in a world where bad news dominates. Yet if one
can set aside the emotional heat, these reports offer an intellectual
feast: a rare opportunity to see an unusually wide spectrum of
interpretations of the same climate data. Given the high-level nature of
this mainstream critique, the mainstream will have to respond — revealing
which points can be defended and which will prove more fragile.</P>
<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px"><SPAN>As
an initial, detailed public response, I recommend </SPAN><A
style="COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); TEXT-DECORATION: underline"
href="https://substack.com/redirect/910db97b-f16e-4aa8-8424-3a7856305d74?j=eyJ1IjoiMm0ybTQyIn0.YTQIGOi3aNYzFXNXjrWAb8aIFHsltcqoBPDDRfi_FMU"
rel="" target=_blank>the document</A><SPAN> from Professor Michael
MacCracken, which directly addresses the paper by Lindzen and Happer. It
is available for all to read and judge for themselves.</SPAN></P>
<H4
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 1.16em; MARGIN: 1em 0px 0.62em; FONT-FAMILY: 'SF Pro Display',-apple-system-headline,system-ui,-apple-system,BlinkMacSystemFont,'Segoe UI',Roboto,Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif,'Apple Color Emoji','Segoe UI Emoji','Segoe UI Symbol'; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 1.12em; FONT-WEIGHT: bold">Ecological
astigmatism</H4>
<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px"><SPAN>While
these documents cover a wide range of physical interpretations of climate
phenomena, they all share what I would call </SPAN><I>ecological
astigmatism</I><SPAN> — a distorted view of nature in which any increase
in growth is mistaken for genuine health: the more, the better. I see
ecological astigmatism not as the flaw of a few papers, or a limitation of
physicists compared to biologists, but as a chronic condition of modern
civilization — a distortion of vision that blinds us to </SPAN><A
style="COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); TEXT-DECORATION: underline"
href="https://substack.com/redirect/81d34609-6b73-47aa-9974-4f5c2d2c4cf6?j=eyJ1IjoiMm0ybTQyIn0.YTQIGOi3aNYzFXNXjrWAb8aIFHsltcqoBPDDRfi_FMU"
rel="" target=_blank>life’s complexity</A><SPAN>. It spares almost no one,
not even those who consider themselves ecological thinkers, and overcoming
it requires conscious effort. (I recommend reading </SPAN><A
style="COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); TEXT-DECORATION: underline"
href="https://substack.com/redirect/90d2462b-f4b8-45dd-912a-685748f2b8e8?j=eyJ1IjoiMm0ybTQyIn0.YTQIGOi3aNYzFXNXjrWAb8aIFHsltcqoBPDDRfi_FMU"
rel="" target=_blank>“How Do We Know the Truth”</A><SPAN> by Professor
Chuck Pezeshki.)</SPAN></P>
<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px"><SPAN>To
see why this perspective is misleading, let’s start from an economic
parallel. Many people know that GDP (gross domestic product) is not a
measure of collective well-being, and its growth does not necessarily mean
society is progressing in any meaningful way. As Nate Hagens pointed out
in </SPAN><I><A style="COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); TEXT-DECORATION: underline"
href="https://substack.com/redirect/606e939c-0d89-4d9f-afad-58e4d758dc62?j=eyJ1IjoiMm0ybTQyIn0.YTQIGOi3aNYzFXNXjrWAb8aIFHsltcqoBPDDRfi_FMU"
rel="" target=_blank>“</A></I><A
style="COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); TEXT-DECORATION: underline"
href="https://substack.com/redirect/606e939c-0d89-4d9f-afad-58e4d758dc62?j=eyJ1IjoiMm0ybTQyIn0.YTQIGOi3aNYzFXNXjrWAb8aIFHsltcqoBPDDRfi_FMU"
rel="" target=_blank>The 10 Core Myths Still Taught in Business
Schools</A><I><A style="COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); TEXT-DECORATION: underline"
href="https://substack.com/redirect/606e939c-0d89-4d9f-afad-58e4d758dc62?j=eyJ1IjoiMm0ybTQyIn0.YTQIGOi3aNYzFXNXjrWAb8aIFHsltcqoBPDDRfi_FMU"
rel="" target=_blank>”</A></I><SPAN>, GDP simply tallies </SPAN><I>any
activity</I><SPAN> measured in money. If an environmental disaster
destroys a city, rebuilding it will add to GDP — and if extra work is
needed, GDP growth will even be recorded as a result of the disaster.
(Conversely, as Ugo Bardi notes, GDP as a measure of monetary exchange can
rise while actual economic activity, measured by energy consumption,
</SPAN><A style="COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); TEXT-DECORATION: underline"
href="https://open.substack.com/pub/senecaeffect/p/collapsing-european-states-is-the"
rel="" target=_blank>declines</A><SPAN>.) </SPAN></P>
<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px">A
more natural example: imagine an anthill where ants live in quiet, orderly
rhythm. Now picture someone jabbing a stick into their home. Suddenly,
activity surges — workers rush to repair the damage, guards swarm to
confront the intruder. It’s a burst of energy and movement, but hardly a
sign of improved ant prosperity. It’s a stress response.</P>
<DIV style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 32px auto; FONT-SIZE: 16px">
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<TD style="TEXT-ALIGN: center"></TD>
<TD style="TEXT-ALIGN: center" width=1456 align=left><A
style="BORDER-BOTTOM: medium none; BORDER-LEFT: medium none; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; MARGIN: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 0px; WIDTH: auto; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; DISPLAY: block; HEIGHT: auto; BORDER-TOP: medium none; BORDER-RIGHT: medium none; TEXT-DECORATION: none; PADDING-TOP: 0px"
href="https://substack.com/redirect/8ff45ac2-f5ae-45fa-b451-5ce53f4f873b?j=eyJ1IjoiMm0ybTQyIn0.YTQIGOi3aNYzFXNXjrWAb8aIFHsltcqoBPDDRfi_FMU"
rel="" target=_blank><IMG
style="BORDER-BOTTOM: medium none; BORDER-LEFT: medium none; MARGIN: 0px auto; WIDTH: auto !important; DISPLAY: block; MAX-WIDTH: 100% !important; HEIGHT: auto; VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle; BORDER-TOP: medium none; BORDER-RIGHT: medium none"
title="" alt=""
src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!yLA_!,w_1100,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7a5914b0-9985-4652-8d7c-f17f474cada2_2112x2816.jpeg"
width=550 height=733></A></TD>
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<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px">Similarly,
a rise in biological activity at the ecosystem level is not automatically
a marker of ecological health; it can be a symptom of strain. Which brings
us to “CO₂ fertilization.”</P>
<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px">If
we can’t entirely shed our human frame of reference, think of Earth’s
biosphere as a giant production line. Each year, plants and algae
manufacture about 100 gigatons of organic carbon — roughly a trillion tons
of fresh green biomass. Yet the atmospheric carbon reservoir is relatively
small: only about 800 gigatons as CO₂. Almost all of that annual output is
quickly consumed by bacteria, fungi and animals, which return the carbon
to the atmosphere. This tight production–consumption loop kept
preindustrial CO₂ levels stable; even a small, lasting imbalance would
have sent them rising or falling.</P>
<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px"><SPAN>We
have now subjected the biosphere to a vast experiment — injecting enormous
amounts of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere by burning fossil fuels at a
rate equal to about one-tenth of what the biosphere synthesizes each year.
How did the biosphere respond? Global carbon budget assessments tell us:
it began producing extra organic carbon — </SPAN><B>carbon that,
crucially, nobody consumed!</B><SPAN> (Think about it: the biospheric
production line has ramped up output, but no one has claimed the surplus.
How should we interpret that? What does it mean?)</SPAN></P>
<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px">As
a result, a biotic sink for anthropogenic carbon formed, so atmospheric
CO₂ now accumulates not at 10 GtC per year as we burn fossils, but at a
significantly lower rate. I’ve covered these processes in detail in two
earlier posts, which I invite you to read:</P>
<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px"><A
style="COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); TEXT-DECORATION: underline"
href="https://substack.com/redirect/b33ca74c-85a3-442a-90b1-3737fb81eb3d?j=eyJ1IjoiMm0ybTQyIn0.YTQIGOi3aNYzFXNXjrWAb8aIFHsltcqoBPDDRfi_FMU"
rel="" target=_blank>New Global Carbon Data Revives the "Missing Sink"
Problem</A><BR><A style="COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); TEXT-DECORATION: underline"
href="https://substack.com/redirect/0f98bb63-d24d-4029-8dad-41490943ae61?j=eyJ1IjoiMm0ybTQyIn0.YTQIGOi3aNYzFXNXjrWAb8aIFHsltcqoBPDDRfi_FMU"
rel="" target=_blank>Nature is trying to fix our mess—it’s time to
recognize its power</A></P>
<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px"><SPAN>Here,
it’s enough to note that many people — including the DOE report authors —
take this as evidence that “CO₂ fertilization” has made the biosphere
</SPAN><I>bigger</I><SPAN>. Dr. Craig Idso, for instance, illustrates his
point with photos showing plants grown under elevated CO₂ concentrations
becoming larger (see below).</SPAN></P>
<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px"><SPAN>But
a recent study by </SPAN><A
style="COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); TEXT-DECORATION: underline"
href="https://substack.com/redirect/2f6ec6d1-0b74-4026-abc8-1eae5f3672b0?j=eyJ1IjoiMm0ybTQyIn0.YTQIGOi3aNYzFXNXjrWAb8aIFHsltcqoBPDDRfi_FMU"
rel="" target=_blank>Bar-On </A><I><A
style="COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); TEXT-DECORATION: underline"
href="https://substack.com/redirect/2f6ec6d1-0b74-4026-abc8-1eae5f3672b0?j=eyJ1IjoiMm0ybTQyIn0.YTQIGOi3aNYzFXNXjrWAb8aIFHsltcqoBPDDRfi_FMU"
rel="" target=_blank>et al.</A></I><A
style="COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); TEXT-DECORATION: underline"
href="https://substack.com/redirect/2f6ec6d1-0b74-4026-abc8-1eae5f3672b0?j=eyJ1IjoiMm0ybTQyIn0.YTQIGOi3aNYzFXNXjrWAb8aIFHsltcqoBPDDRfi_FMU"
rel="" target=_blank> (2024)</A><SPAN> in </SPAN><I>Science</I><SPAN> —
unmentioned in the DOE climate report — shows that global plant biomass
has not increased over the past thirty years. This means something else is
happening on a planetary scale: plants don’t grow bigger but are producing
extra material that the rest of the biosphere does not consume, so it
accumulates somewhere — likely in soils or in dissolved form in the
ocean.</SPAN></P>
<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px"><SPAN>This
fits perfectly with the </SPAN><A
style="COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); TEXT-DECORATION: underline"
href="https://substack.com/redirect/3bb40908-c670-4ab6-8a92-b0cdcbb2db9d?j=eyJ1IjoiMm0ybTQyIn0.YTQIGOi3aNYzFXNXjrWAb8aIFHsltcqoBPDDRfi_FMU"
rel="" target=_blank>biotic regulation concept</A><SPAN>: the biosphere
treats excess atmospheric CO₂ as a </SPAN><I>disturbance</I><SPAN> and
works to restore its optimal, lower concentration by removing it. Think of
it as the biosphere’s fever — the same physiological response your own
body triggers when threatened by toxins from harmful bacteria or viruses.
Metabolic rates rise as the body fights to re-establish balance. Fever is
not a sign of health; it is a sign of life under stress. The same is true
for our biosphere — it is alive, and it is struggling. And yet we call it
“CO₂ fertilization.” </SPAN></P>
<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px">Guess
what happens if the body is never allowed to recover, but is continually
reinfected and forced to sustain a fever for a long time?</P>
<H4
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 1.16em; MARGIN: 1em 0px 0.62em; FONT-FAMILY: 'SF Pro Display',-apple-system-headline,system-ui,-apple-system,BlinkMacSystemFont,'Segoe UI',Roboto,Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif,'Apple Color Emoji','Segoe UI Emoji','Segoe UI Symbol'; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 1.12em; FONT-WEIGHT: bold">Plant
obesity?</H4>
<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px">Now,
let’s keep bending our brains away from the “more is better” mindset and
look at these photos from Lindzen and Happer (2025) meant to send a
positive message about CO₂ being good for plants.</P>
<DIV style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 32px auto; FONT-SIZE: 16px">
<TABLE border=0 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%">
<TBODY>
<TR>
<TD style="TEXT-ALIGN: center"></TD>
<TD style="TEXT-ALIGN: center" width=1456 align=left><A
style="BORDER-BOTTOM: medium none; BORDER-LEFT: medium none; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; MARGIN: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 0px; WIDTH: auto; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; DISPLAY: block; HEIGHT: auto; BORDER-TOP: medium none; BORDER-RIGHT: medium none; TEXT-DECORATION: none; PADDING-TOP: 0px"
href="https://substack.com/redirect/d6e21d32-75a7-4578-bf5a-3d02282cbd17?j=eyJ1IjoiMm0ybTQyIn0.YTQIGOi3aNYzFXNXjrWAb8aIFHsltcqoBPDDRfi_FMU"
rel="" target=_blank><IMG
style="BORDER-BOTTOM: medium none; BORDER-LEFT: medium none; MARGIN: 0px auto; WIDTH: auto !important; DISPLAY: block; MAX-WIDTH: 100% !important; HEIGHT: auto; VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle; BORDER-TOP: medium none; BORDER-RIGHT: medium none"
title="" alt=""
src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!uncy!,w_1100,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1273dbd1-c959-4d20-86ca-51c7b1835d79_1538x1028.png"
width=550 height=367></A></TD>
<TD style="TEXT-ALIGN: center"></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></DIV>
<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px">In
the image above, a plant grows larger and larger as carbon dioxide levels
rise. This looks like a good thing. </P>
<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px">In
the image below, four human bodies show a similar progression — but the
largest is clearly obese, a condition linked to higher risks of numerous
health problems. Bigger isn’t always better.</P>
<DIV style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 32px auto; FONT-SIZE: 16px">
<TABLE border=0 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%">
<TBODY>
<TR>
<TD style="TEXT-ALIGN: center"></TD>
<TD style="TEXT-ALIGN: center" width=1456 align=left><A
style="BORDER-BOTTOM: medium none; BORDER-LEFT: medium none; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; MARGIN: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 0px; WIDTH: auto; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; DISPLAY: block; HEIGHT: auto; BORDER-TOP: medium none; BORDER-RIGHT: medium none; TEXT-DECORATION: none; PADDING-TOP: 0px"
href="https://substack.com/redirect/0f8aa108-05e9-447f-8634-4b1cd5a81a23?j=eyJ1IjoiMm0ybTQyIn0.YTQIGOi3aNYzFXNXjrWAb8aIFHsltcqoBPDDRfi_FMU"
rel="" target=_blank><IMG
style="BORDER-BOTTOM: medium none; BORDER-LEFT: medium none; MARGIN: 0px auto; WIDTH: auto !important; DISPLAY: block; MAX-WIDTH: 100% !important; HEIGHT: auto; VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle; BORDER-TOP: medium none; BORDER-RIGHT: medium none"
title="" alt=""
src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WBM0!,w_1100,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff4554177-dc95-48a4-96c9-af911e56a58a_1536x1024.png"
width=550 height=366></A></TD>
<TD style="TEXT-ALIGN: center"></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></DIV>
<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px"><SPAN>We
often assume that ecosystems are limited by nutrients, which must
sometimes arrive through extraordinary means — like the carcasses of dead
salmon or dust blown across the Atlantic from the Sahara. (This is,
incidentally, another anthropocentric idea, mimicking international trade,
something that does not truly exist in nature.) But “more nutrients”
doesn’t automatically mean “more success.” Plants that grow unusually
large in nutrient-rich areas are not necessarily better off when it comes
to long-term resilience. For example, </SPAN><A
style="COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); TEXT-DECORATION: underline"
href="https://substack.com/redirect/3b22f0b9-63ae-49bc-bca3-c47660b72d03?j=eyJ1IjoiMm0ybTQyIn0.YTQIGOi3aNYzFXNXjrWAb8aIFHsltcqoBPDDRfi_FMU"
rel="" target=_blank>Shuli Chen and colleagues</A><SPAN> found that in the
Amazon, the trees most resilient to drought are the slower-growing species
rooted in the less fertile soils.</SPAN></P>
<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px"><SPAN>Even
if we neglect how the biosphere is doing but focus on our own short-term
needs, relying on fast-growing plants that churn out poorly digestible
extra biomass does little to improve our nutrition. The DOE report authors
did acknowledge this — it is well known that our food has been losing
nutritional value. While it still delivers (often poorly digestible)
calories, it increasingly fails to provide the full spectrum of nutrients
needed for a healthy body and mind to reach their full potential. The
authors, however, brushed this aside, suggesting that depleted food can
simply be “fortified” with vitamins. (They likewise dismissed concerns
that prolonged exposure to elevated CO₂ levels might be harmful to human
health and cognition (see, e.g., </SPAN><A
style="COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); TEXT-DECORATION: underline"
href="https://substack.com/redirect/1117b84c-7976-447e-8206-78f90bf18a5f?j=eyJ1IjoiMm0ybTQyIn0.YTQIGOi3aNYzFXNXjrWAb8aIFHsltcqoBPDDRfi_FMU"
rel="" target=_blank>U. Bardi, P. Bierwirth, K.-W. Huang, and J. McIntyre
2025</A><SPAN>), arguing that acute effects have only been observed at
concentrations much higher than current ambient levels. But chronic
exposure is not the same as acute.)</SPAN></P>
<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px">Regarding
the vitamins, indeed, the food supplement market is booming, but
biologically active nutrient forms — unlike conventional synthetic
vitamins — are not cheap, they are very costly. If we tally the effort and
resources required to manufacture the “vitamins” now missing from our
food, any supposed agricultural gains from “CO₂ fertilization” could
easily vanish.</P>
<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px"><SPAN>That
said, I have long maintained that with our current population numbers,
providing healthy food for everyone is likely impossible without
destroying all remaining tropical forests. Any large-scale shift from
industrial agriculture — with its maximized yields — to more natural,
ecosystem-based farming will inevitably reduce productivity and raise
global food prices. In nature, “better” is not “more”: when you respect
natural laws, you must leave more for the ecosystem itself, and that
portion is subtracted from your own yield. Paradoxically, today’s
industrial agriculture — while delivering mostly poor but cheap calories
and </SPAN><A style="COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); TEXT-DECORATION: underline"
href="https://substack.com/redirect/c2b7345f-803c-4fbd-9c21-e7efd020850e?j=eyJ1IjoiMm0ybTQyIn0.YTQIGOi3aNYzFXNXjrWAb8aIFHsltcqoBPDDRfi_FMU"
rel="" target=_blank>poisoning the soil</A><SPAN> — also partially, and
temporarily, shields tropical forests by reducing the economic incentive
to burn them for cropland. We live in an entangled world where good and
evil walk hand in hand.</SPAN></P>
<H4
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 1.16em; MARGIN: 1em 0px 0.62em; FONT-FAMILY: 'SF Pro Display',-apple-system-headline,system-ui,-apple-system,BlinkMacSystemFont,'Segoe UI',Roboto,Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif,'Apple Color Emoji','Segoe UI Emoji','Segoe UI Symbol'; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 1.12em; FONT-WEIGHT: bold">Outlook</H4>
<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px"><SPAN>I
don’t have a clear-cut conclusion today. It is hard to live when the world
feels saturated with bad news. One can either embrace </SPAN><A
style="COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); TEXT-DECORATION: underline"
href="https://substack.com/redirect/8dd0730a-ceed-453c-bd49-3d1a60bccc77?j=eyJ1IjoiMm0ybTQyIn0.YTQIGOi3aNYzFXNXjrWAb8aIFHsltcqoBPDDRfi_FMU"
rel="" target=_blank>the art of grieving</A><SPAN> or retreat into
rationalization. The DOE climate report can be read as an attempt to
counterbalance the doom-laden narratives of climate science by suggesting
that things are not quite as dire as they are portrayed. </SPAN></P>
<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px">One
of its strongest implicit arguments is that if we were to aggressively cut
off fossil fuel supply tomorrow, billions of people would die. The debate
here is not about whether climate change is harmful, but whether we can
act aggressively without unleashing immense human suffering. Our
civilization, like an addict, is deeply dependent on fossil fuels, and any
abrupt withdrawal would bring severe pain. As fossil fuels naturally phase
out due to their declining EROI, that pain might be less acute. Although
I’m not certain. These are complicated matters.</P>
<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px"><SPAN>But
I do find some arguments naive — for example, claims that California is
“going renewable” while importing $100+ billion worth of goods from China.
China is not going renewable; it is expanding </SPAN><I>all</I><SPAN>
forms of energy consumption, including coal — and in 2024, its coal demand
reached a new all-time high. One could say California is going green at
the expense of China going black.</SPAN></P>
<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px"><SPAN>I
often think of a banner found all across Russian railways:
</SPAN><I>“Remember! It is not possible to immediately stop the train!”.
</I><SPAN>Once a train is thundering down the tracks, momentum rules — and
sometimes it’s already too late to jump clear. In the same way, our
fossil-fuel momentum carries us forward whether we like it or not. With
all the uncertainties in play, I want to share the DOE report authors’
hope that the ongoing accumulation of CO₂ will not prove fatal for the
biosphere as we know it (and I am thinking of the coral reefs in the first
place, which the DOE report authors </SPAN><A
style="COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); TEXT-DECORATION: underline"
href="https://substack.com/redirect/35af2472-22a7-4429-bbdf-3499f6097766?j=eyJ1IjoiMm0ybTQyIn0.YTQIGOi3aNYzFXNXjrWAb8aIFHsltcqoBPDDRfi_FMU"
rel="" target=_blank>mistakenly</A><SPAN> claim to have been
rebounding.)</SPAN></P>
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href="https://substack.com/redirect/2ff6afe2-37c2-482a-96b4-d484f63ee9fe?j=eyJ1IjoiMm0ybTQyIn0.YTQIGOi3aNYzFXNXjrWAb8aIFHsltcqoBPDDRfi_FMU"
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style="BORDER-BOTTOM: medium none; BORDER-LEFT: medium none; MARGIN: 0px auto; WIDTH: auto !important; DISPLAY: block; MAX-WIDTH: 100% !important; HEIGHT: auto; VERTICAL-ALIGN: middle; BORDER-TOP: medium none; BORDER-RIGHT: medium none"
title="" alt=""
src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!n0MS!,w_354,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3517ac7c-77ca-45a6-acfc-c6962d18c3fd_354x500.jpeg"
width=354 height=500></A></TD>
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<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px"><SPAN>Regardless
of CO₂ accumulation, the Earth’s biosphere is gravely ailing under our
direct assaults — logging, burning, and chemical poisoning. This reality
is ignored (or </SPAN><I><A
style="COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); TEXT-DECORATION: underline"
href="https://substack.com/redirect/6cf356d2-654e-4187-9711-1ef867eb6332?j=eyJ1IjoiMm0ybTQyIn0.YTQIGOi3aNYzFXNXjrWAb8aIFHsltcqoBPDDRfi_FMU"
rel="" target=_blank>exapátisiologized</A></I><SPAN>) by the climate
mainstream, by their opponents, and, historically, by our civilization as
a whole.</SPAN></P>
<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px">The
chances that we could wipe out all life on Earth are small. Finding
harmony with the biosphere is, above all, a matter of our own survival and
continued progress as a thinking species. It seems that once our urbanized
civilization reached a certain level of detachment from the natural world,
we rapidly lost the capacity to process complex ideas. The greatest
discoveries in science were made when people lived on the brink between
urban and natural life — already enjoying the comfort of the former but
still exposed to the complexity of the latter. This was also the time when
classical music flourished.</P>
<P
style="LINE-HEIGHT: 26px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 20px; COLOR: rgb(54,55,55); FONT-SIZE: 16px">I
do not know whether a civilization truly in harmony with the biosphere is
possible, but I want, at the very least, to raise my voice in its
favor.</P>
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<P></P>-- <BR>Вы получили это сообщение, поскольку подписаны на
группу "Региональная платформа по водным вопросам Центральной Азии и др
регионов".<BR></DIV>
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<DIV class="gmail_quote gmail_quote_container">
<DIV>От: <B dir=auto class=gmail_sendername>Svet Zabelin</B> <SPAN
dir=auto><<A
href="mailto:svetfrog@gmail.com">svetfrog@gmail.com</A>></SPAN><BR>Date: пн,
11 авг. 2025 г. в 18:32<BR>Subject: Fwd: Is Extra CO2 Good/Food for
Plants?<BR><BR></DIV></DIV></DIV></BODY></HTML>