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<DIV dir=ltr><FONT face="verdana, helvetica, sans-serif">Dear peace friends
around the Baltic Sea!</FONT></DIV>
<DIV dir=ltr><FONT face="verdana, helvetica, sans-serif"><BR></FONT></DIV>
<DIV dir=ltr><FONT face="verdana, helvetica, sans-serif">Below extremely useful
and important information from </FONT></DIV>
<DIV dir=ltr><FONT face="verdana, helvetica, sans-serif">Dr. Horst Leps -
Elersweg 17 - 22395 Hamburg - 040/60450776<BR></FONT></DIV>
<DIV dir=ltr><FONT face="verdana, helvetica, sans-serif">email: horstleps
(at) gmx.de</FONT></DIV>
<DIV dir=ltr><FONT face="verdana, helvetica, sans-serif"><BR></FONT></DIV>
<DIV dir=ltr><FONT face="verdana, helvetica, sans-serif"><BR></FONT></DIV>
<DIV dir=ltr><FONT face="verdana, helvetica, sans-serif">Characteristic of the
current military and security situation in the Baltic Sea, is not only the fact
that the opposing parties (east and west) hardly speak with each other anymore,
but that there are also no initiatives in this direction.</FONT></DIV>
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<DIV><FONT face="verdana, helvetica, sans-serif"><BR></FONT></DIV>
<DIV dir=ltr><FONT face="verdana, helvetica, sans-serif">The German Foreign
Office in Berlin has supported the American RAND Corporation in a study "A New
Approach to Conventional Arms Control in Europe" which has now been presented
(see links below).</FONT></DIV></DIV></DIV>
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<DIV><A
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href="https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR4346.html" shape=rect
rel=nofollow
target=_blank>https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR4346.html</A><BR
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clear=none><A
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href="https://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/research_reports/RR4300/RR4346/RAND_RR4346.pdf"
shape=rect rel=nofollow
target=_blank>https://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/research_reports/RR4300/RR4346/RAND_RR4346.pdf</A></DIV><BR></DIV></DIV>
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<DIV dir=ltr>The study starts by outlining mutual threat perceptions. For this,
interviews were made with experts from </DIV>
<DIV>NATO and texts by Russian politicians and military as well as political
scientists were analyzed. A comparison of the perceptions were made and analyzed
for their military implications. In order to concretize the concerns,</DIV>
<DIV dir=ltr>the RAND Corporation authors present conflict scenarios: How could
a war in the Kaliningrad/Suwalki region start?</DIV></DIV>
<DIV>
<DIV dir=ltr>Then arms control experts from NATO as well as from Russia are
asked what measures could be taken to prevent military confrontations or to slow
them down.</DIV></DIV>
<DIV>
<DIV dir=ltr>The document contains a 10 page long, extensive list of measures
which for example, could reduce dangers that arise from misunderstandings.</DIV>
<DIV dir=ltr>
<DIV>
<DIV dir=ltr>The list includes restricting military activities in strategically
sensitive locations, the limitation of the number of military exercises, the
prohibition of strategically important weapon systems in certain locations,
limits for which capabilities can be used in exercises in strategically
sensitive locations, notification mechanisms for enhanced readiness of
forces, </DIV>
<DIV dir=ltr>nodes for crisis communications and much more.</DIV></DIV>
<DIV dir=ltr>(Measures for arms control pages 58 -68)</DIV>
<DIV dir=ltr><BR></DIV></DIV>
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<DIV>
<DIV dir=ltr>
<DIV>
<DIV dir=ltr><B>This study must be made known in all countries around the Baltic
Sea in order to create public pressure that forces the governments to
implement a policy of relaxation, arms control and maybe even disarmament. It is
important not only to focus on the individual measures proposed, but to create
awareness that - as the list of measures shows - military relaxation is
basically possible in the Baltic Sea area, if the governments are willing to
work for it.</B></DIV></DIV><BR></DIV></DIV>
<DIV dir=ltr>Dr. Horst Leps</DIV>___________________________</DIV></DIV>
<DIV dir=ltr><BR></DIV>On behalf of the Baltic Sea Call initiators I hope that
you will send this RAND Corporation study to your government and your members of
parliament with your own greetings and wishes. Let us remind them that peace and
disarmament is possible!</FONT></DIV>
<DIV
style="FONT-FAMILY: 'times new roman', 'new york', times, serif; COLOR: rgb(0,0,0)"
dir=ltr><FONT face="verdana, helvetica, sans-serif"><BR></FONT></DIV>
<DIV
style="FONT-FAMILY: 'times new roman', 'new york', times, serif; COLOR: rgb(0,0,0)"
dir=ltr><FONT face="verdana, helvetica, sans-serif">Ulla Klötzer, Women for
Peace - Finland</FONT></DIV>
<DIV
style="FONT-FAMILY: 'times new roman', 'new york', times, serif; COLOR: rgb(0,0,0)"
dir=ltr><FONT face="verdana, helvetica, sans-serif"></FONT> </DIV>
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<DIV><FONT size=2 face=Arial></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial">
<DIV style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; font-color: black"><B>From:</B> <A
title=ullaklotzer@yahoo.com href="mailto:ullaklotzer@yahoo.com">Ulla Klotzer</A>
</DIV>
<DIV><B>Sent:</B> Saturday, May 02, 2020 4:21 PM</DIV>
<DIV><B>Subject:</B> Baltic Sea militarisation - RAND study arms
control</DIV></DIV><BR></SPAN></DIV></FONT></DIV></DIV></DIV></DIV></BODY></HTML>