*[Enwl-eng] Who heatwaves hit hardest
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Wed Jul 19 20:34:32 MSK 2023
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It’s been hard to keep up with all the heatwaves this week. China has
had its highest ever temperature of 52.2°C, and records are being threatened
right across southern Europe. An airport in Iran clocked a “feels like”
temperature of 66°C thanks to intense heat combined with very humid air from
the nearby Persian Gulf. Much of the US is being blasted by extreme heat and
Phoenix, Arizona, has had 19 consecutive days above 110°F (43.3°C), while
tourists are gathering in Death Valley, California, which may soon break the
all-time world temperature record.
You’re reading the Imagine newsletter – a weekly synthesis of academic
insight on solutions to climate change, brought to you by The Conversation.
I’m Will de Freitas, Energy & Environment Editor of The Conversation,
covering for my colleague Jack Marley who is in Italy (and not enjoying the
40°C weather). This week, we’ll look at extreme heat and how it is
experienced in extremely different ways depending on where people are, what
they do, and what resources they have access to.
We know that things are getting worse. In a piece on the current
European heatwave, Emma Hill and Ben Vivian point out that Intergovernmental
Panel on Climate Change data “shows an increase in the frequency and
magnitude of extreme weather events since the 1950s. A separate analysis of
European heatwaves [by Czech scientists] revealed an increasing severity of
such events over the past two decades.”
The climate models may even be underestimating the likelihood of the
very hottest days. Oxford climate scientist Matthew Patterson recently
looked at five decades of data and found that “north-west Europe has seen
its hottest days warm by around 0.6℃ per decade – double the rate at which
the region’s average summer days have warmed”. Another climate scientist,
writing about “statistically impossible” heatwaves that have happened
recently, says that “policymakers across the globe should prepare for
exceptional heatwaves that would be deemed implausible based on current
records”.
But these heat extremes do not affect everyone equally. Right now,
50°C is a lot more disastrous for builders in Iran or elderly people in
Sicily, for instance, than it is for Death Valley climate catastrophe
tourists in air conditioned cars.
Laurie Parsons is a geographer who studies the socio-economic impact
of climate change. He says heat stress is a matter of inequality and the
risk is “unevenly spread”:
People living in poorer neighbourhoods face a higher risk of heat
stress (when the body struggles to regulate its internal temperature) than
those living in richer ones, relatively disadvantaged people are more likely
to acquire health problems from excess heat than those who are not. This is
due to several intersecting factors, from poorer overall health and hotter
working conditions – often involving more physical labour outdoors – to
fewer trees and parks in less wealthy areas and fewer homes with air
conditioning and good insulation.
Research by academics in Australia can give us a sense of which
workers might be most affected by a heatwave. They looked at ten years of
compensation claims during extremely hot temperatures in the city of
Adelaide and found workers at higher risk included:
a.. animal and horticultural workers
b.. cleaners
c.. food service workers
d.. metal workers
e.. warehouse workers.
It’s fairly obvious why those groups are at risk: they either work
outdoors, or do heavy physical work indoors, often in already hot
environments. What’s less obvious is why older people are at such risk.
Hill and Vivian mention two of Europe’s worst so-called “natural”
disasters of this century: “In 2003, a heatwave swept across Europe,
claiming the lives of over 70,000 people. Then, in 2022, another heatwave
hit Europe, resulting in the deaths of almost 62,000 people.” A study
published in Nature Medicine this month found that people aged 80 or more
made up more than half (36,848) of the 2022 deaths across the continent.
Parsons notes that of the 3,271 excess deaths in the UK, “most occurred in
care homes”.
Public health researchers Sarah Cunningham and Sharon Rutherford
suggest this is partly down to physiology:
As we get older, we tend to not “feel” the heat as much even though
our bodies are less able to handle the heat. This contradiction can have
lethal consequences, especially during periods of extreme heat.
They highlight some key reasons we’re more susceptible to heat as we
get older including:
a.. bodily changes: older people are less able to lose excess heat
through their skin
b.. social isolation: many older people live alone or don’t have
anyone checking on them
c.. medical conditions: conditions such as heart failure and
diabetes are more common with age and are associated with increased heat
risk.
So if we know which demographics and occupations are most at risk,
what can we do about it? (Other than “stop emitting carbon”, obviously.)
Parsons, the geographer, suggests that “Things as simple as a fan or a
break from work can prevent heat deaths.” The public health researchers also
mention regular drinks and cold showers, and opening windows when they’re
facing away from the sun and otherwise keeping blinds drawn, among other
things.
But as Parsons says, “being able to access even these basic measures
is unequally distributed”. To help workers, he suggests:
Labour statutes must be rewritten to combat heat stress, including
maximum working temperatures and longer breaks on the very hot days that are
an increasingly common feature of the UK’s climate.
And that’s just in the UK, where we have relatively little exposure to
the most dangerous temperatures. Other places will have to do even more.
Ultimately it looks like almost every country in the world will have to
adapt to at least some dangerously hot weather.
Parsons again:
Policy action at every level of political and social life is
necessary, including wages, housing, healthcare and adult social care. Since
heat deaths are an expression of economic inequality, no form of climate
adaptation is likely to be more effective than making poor people less poor.
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Imagine.
European heatwave: what’s causing it and is climate change to blame?
Europe is gripped by a heatwave called Cerberus - it may be a sign of
things to come.
Read more
How inequality shapes your experience of a heatwave
Tackling poverty can protect people from rising heat extremes in
Britain and abroad.
Read more
As heatwaves become more extreme, which jobs are riskiest?
As the climate changes and heatwaves become more frequent and severe,
it's vital we do more to understand who is most vulnerable and how we can
reduce their risk.
Read more
5 reasons to check on your elderly neighbour during a heatwave
Here's why it's important to keep an eye on older family and friends
this summer.
Read more
Hottest days are warming twice as fast as average summer temperature
in north-west Europe – new research
Hot days are getting hotter in north-west Europe -- and the region is
poorly equipped to cope.
Read more
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Sent: Wednesday, July 19, 2023 8:02 PM
Subject: Who heatwaves hit hardest
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